But those playoff contests have a lot. More: Lions Sink Saleh, Even Record After Smothering Wilson. Thanks for playing, and congratulations to Nicky Abbs, who finished with the most points this season. Make Playoffs. But More. Let’s now focus on those two samples in isolation. 7 points, good enough to be in the 97th percentile and in 514th place. Teams. The Miami Dolphins slipped to third in the playoff odds in the AFC East at -115, while the New England Patriots are a distant fourth. Point Diff. The perception after the NFL’s fourth. UPDATED Feb. DraftKings Make Playoffs Odds. The model enters Super Wild Card Weekend in the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Here’s the latest national championship odds in college football, per BetMGM, after Week 11. 2024 NFL Playoff Odds. With the final AFC playoff spot up for grabs in Week 18, FiveThirtyEight has released its final playoff odds for the Dolphins, Patriots and Steelers entering the final weekend of the regular. In terms of just qualifying for the playoffs, they are -300. 49ers:. As of November 24 the Houston Texans' odds of winning the Super Bowl, +6000, place them 12th in the NFL. Cincinnati Bengals (13-4) -- Division winner; Baltimore Ravens (12-5)* -- Wild-card team; Pittsburgh Steelers (9-8); Cleveland Browns (7-10) The Bengals have never been AFC North champs. How to Read NFL Playoff Betting Odds. FiveThirtyEight & DARKO Click the odds below to bet any of these prices now at DraftKings Sportsbook. maya (Maya Sweedler, editor): The 2022 NFL playoffs started off with some exciting games that produced unexciting results, with only the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys knocking off a higher. FiveThirtyEight released its annual NFL team win total projections this week,. Payoff is calculated differently for the betting odds in the favorite’s and underdog’s markets, but always centered around the value of $100. FILE—CeeDee Lamb of the Dallas Cowboys avoids a tackle from Tay Gowan of the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on. Updated Nov. There are just two. If Kawhi does not play at all, L. Wins. AFC No. NFL playoff odds: Teams offering the most value. Stats. Every forecast update is based on 20,000 simulations of the remaining season. FanGraphs simulates each season 10,000 times to generate the probabilities. Here are the 14 teams we are projecting to make the playoffs, plus every team's chances of getting in CBSSports. (13 teams didn't. With -475 odds to make the playoffs, the Browns currently have an 82. Washington players celebrate after defeating the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Dallas on Monday. Let's evaluate last season's playoff teams and rate their chances of making it back in January. ET. 49ers picks:. The best playoff odds in the ACC, according to our model, belong to Pitt at 14 percent, well off the pace of the leaders of the SEC, Big Ten and Big 12; only the Pac-12, where No. L. More. His first season in Cleveland was rough, completing just 58. UPDATED Jun. Depth Charts. UPDATED Feb. 78 total) Michigan Wolverines: -260 (bet $10 to win $13. Compare NFL future betting lines from the best sportsbooks online this football season. 23% – Panthers. Week 13 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. 09-07-2023 • 8 min read. View the 2023 NFL power index on ESPN. Miami Dolphins defensive end Cameron Wake enters the field before the Week 1 game against the New England Patriots in Miami Garden, Florida, on Sunday. Three games gave us combined swings in playoff probability for the two teams involved — according to the FiveThirtyEight model, naturally — of more than 20 percent: 49ers-Bengals,. Against the Chargers, he had a QBR of just 29. Jan. odds to make NFL Playoffs. Morry Gash / AP. Which picks can you make with confidence in the divisional round? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Visit SportsLine, as its incredible model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up. The Chiefs were the favorites all offseason as well, but saw the 49ers take over after Week 1. Simulations as of Sept. Elo’s straight-up record of picking winners is 64-26-1 on the year (10-4-1 in Week 6) or a 71 percent winning percentage. Seattle is the second most-improved team in the rankings, only being outdone by New Jersey. The NFL playoffs are somewhere in between. Until 2022, the highest preseason odds of any team in the playoff era belonged to 2018 Alabama, whose odds adjusted to 30. Louis. The Stanley Cup betting odds on a moneyline bet are formatted to indicate how much will be returned on a $100 wager. m. What do the odds say about the games, the NFC Championship Game and the AFC Championship Game? Take a look at the point spread, moneyline and over/under for the two NFL playoff games on Sunday. We looked at the 538 Playoff Odds projections last week and they were incredibly favorable to the Vikings. The deluge of. The College Football Playoff Features Four Worthy Teams — But Picking Them Wasn’t Easy. In 2022, seven of the 12 playoff teams didn’t make the postseason in the year prior, and seven playoff teams from 2021 failed to qualify this. FILE—CeeDee Lamb of the Dallas Cowboys avoids a tackle from Tay Gowan of the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on. Colin's thoughts: "Rookie coach, rookie coordinator, rookie quarterback. See their straight up, against the spread, over/under, underdog and prop picks. Everything you need to know for the wild-card games, including bold predictions, keys to victory, stat nuggets and score picks. The Falcons aren’t among the 2023 Super Bowl favorites, and there’s really no reason to believe they should be at this point. 00 total) Buffalo Bills. That probably reflects some good luck; historically, Elo ratings have. Every forecast update is based on 20,000 simulations of the remaining season. Super Bowl odds: +420 FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 30. The 2021 NFL season has been wild, and Week 13 certainly provided some more craziness. Heading into Week 14, Tua led the NFL in dropbacks with motion at the snap, and he had a raw QBR of 63. Just six teams were unanimously picked to make the playoffs, while 24 teams (75% of the league) got at least one vote for a playoff spot. It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. Current playoff odds (via FiveThirtyEight. Washington players celebrate after defeating the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Dallas on Monday. Despite entering the playoffs with 10 or more regular-season wins seven times since 2002, the organization has yet to make the NFC title game since its Super Bowl XXX win in 1996. 55 to 0. How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. 6% chance of earning a playoff berth. Thanksgiving Day NFL: Seahawks-49ers odds, picks, simsPractically Must-Win in Week 17 Seattle Seahawks . 1 seed in the 2021 NFL season (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire) Below are the TeamRankings 2021 NFL preseason predictions, including win/loss records, final standings, playoff odds and Super Bowl win odds for all 32 teams. Golden State’s Steph Curry won the Bill Russell Most Valuable Player (MVP) award. Team Odds; Kansas City Chiefs-4500. 3 seed in the AFC playoff standings, taking the AFC North lead after Baltimore fell to Cleveland. Georgia, Michigan, Oregon & Ohio State currently have the best odds to qualify for the four-team CFP. FiveThirtyEight’s NFL predictions game is the first of its kind for gamifying NFL results. 6 seed Based on FiveThirtyEight’s latest playoff odds, it looks like the Nets are a massive favorite to finish with the No. Tier I: 70% or better playoff odds. Georgia – +250. According to FiveThirtyEight, the Lions, which sit one-and. The table below represents the Bengals’ remaining games. That probably reflects some good luck; historically, Elo ratings have. After breaking down the playoff picture, here's a more in depth at every team's playoff odds for this season: 2023 NFL Playoff Odds; Team Make Playoffs Miss Playoffs; Arizona Cardinals +900-1800: Atlanta Falcons +120-150: Baltimore Ravens-150 +120: Buffalo Bills-250 +195: Carolina Panthers +160-200:. NFL History. 25% of. Super Bowl Odds: +6000. There are seven teams clustered from 8-7 to 7-8, with odds as high as 36 percent (Chargers and Ravens) and as low as less than 0. Pick. Atlanta Falcons +115-135 +240. ESPN BET. That was made clear by the Week 10 results, as the Houston Texans beat the…Statistical model by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. We’re midway through the NFL offseason, and sportsbooks have released NFL playoff odds on each team for the upcoming campaign. How this works: These forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season. But those playoff contests have a lot. Win Super Bowl. However, two other teams are also 7-8 and have the tiebreaker edge coming out of Week 16. The biggest effects came in terms of playoff chances, where six teams saw their odds of making the postseason rise by double-digit percentage points — a group headlined by the Boston Red Sox and. Below is a breakdown of the playoff odds for all 32 clubs, along with a look at each team’s current state of affairs. Week 16 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. We currently give them a 59 percent chance to make the playoffs for the first time since 2010. . There’s a shakeup at the top of the list following the retirement of Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady and the usual suspects from the last few seasons near the bottom. Despite entering the playoffs with 10 or more regular-season wins seven times since 2002, the organization has yet to make the NFC title game since its Super Bowl XXX win in 1996. Teams. 2021 NFL Predictions. The NFL playoff elimination scenarios for Week 12, 2023. Three weeks ago, the Denver Broncos looked like an easy choice for the NFL’s best team after back-to-back impressive wins: a 42-17 thumping of the San Francisco 49ers (then the third-ranked team. FiveThirtyEight currently gives the Eagles a 39% chance of making the playoffs — but with a big caveat. It is also on a 15-6 roll on top-rated NFL. They force us (and you) to think about the world probabilistically, rather than in absolutes. And if you combine a Giants/Commanders tie with a Lions win over the Jets, the Lions’ playoff odds would jump to 52 percent, per FiveThirtyEight. If they're victorious—or lose by fewer points than the spread—you'd win $150. But it could be a lot worse. Unlike most NFL betting markets, fantasy football challenges, or pick’em. Check back after this week’s games to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and how you stacked up against everyone else. Odds to MISS NFL Playoff at @BetMGM. Filed under College Football. After winning the National League pennant in seven games, the Arizona Diamondbacks are at to win it all. By Jay Boice, Neil Paine and Nate Silver. The Patriots may have the highest peak Elo rating of all time — 1849, after their 18-0 start to the 2007 season — but if you were born in 1981, the 49ers were among the NFL’s best for your entire childhood. 5-point favorites with a chance to become the third team in the playoff era to go 15-0 and win the national championship. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. This season, of 18 games (including the playoffs), they only lost by more than three points once. Playoff spots are a finite resource in NFL. Feb. 1d ESPN staff. Below are Sporting News' predictions for the 2022 NFL playoffs, complete with fresh Super Bowl picks, as our NFL experts Vinnie Iyer, Bill. 9 on 12 dropbacks with motion. Find NFL odds and NFL spreads for upcoming games at FanDuel Sportsbook. Probability of each 2022 NFL division sending a given number of teams to the playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight’s Elo forecast model as of Dec. 0. The Sooners would have to. Despite suffering a Week 18 loss to Denver, Los Angeles found its groove over the second half. Dallas Cowboys-4000. According to FiveThirtyEight, the Packers head into their Week 16 matchup with an 11% chance of making the playoffs. Thursday, January 12, 2023. The setting of the playoff field has solidified the odds for each of the 14 postseason teams to hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy. Find out how Offensive Coordinator Kellen Moore's philosophy has impacted the. Standings. When the Bills quarterback is playing at his best, this team is incredibly difficult. Those teams remain on top of the Elo ratings, although by a narrower margin. 2023 NFL Playoff Odds NFL team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day. go inside how the Chargers created one of the most dominant rushing attacks in the NFL through the first two weeks of 2023. That’s wild. During the Stanley Cup playoffs,. Here are the latest odds to reach the CFP semis:*. NYG: Giants are 0-2 ATS this year after going 14-5 in 2022, including playoffs; Giants vs. Point spread: Ravens (-1. FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. When reading NFL odds, a negative number (-) by a team’s name means they are favored to win. Current playoff odds (via FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED Jun. The sample sizes are tiny: With a one-and-done playoff structure, the league plays only 11 playoff games each year. *The Blazers and Pelicans have identical projected records (34-48), but FiveThirtyEight gives New Orleans a 13 percent chance of making the playoffs, while Portland is at 6 percent. Philadelphia Eagles-30000. 0. In 2019 over 15,000 players signed up to play FiveThirtyEight’s NFL forecast game. There are a few clear favorites to make it to the postseason, including the San Francisco 49ers and Miami Dolphins. AFC Playoff Odds Baltimore Ravens ADVERTISEMENT Yes: -900 (bet $10 to win $11. Odds to earn a first-round bye: 10%. Statistical model by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. FILE—CeeDee Lamb of the Dallas Cowboys avoids a tackle from Tay Gowan of the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on. Teams. . For any game between two teams (A and B) with certain pregame Elo ratings, the odds of Team A winning are: Pr(A) = 1 10−EloDiff 400 + 1 P r ( A) = 1 10 − E l o D i f f 400 + 1. Georgia Bulldogs: -360 (bet $10 to win $12. Running backs are not eligible, as different weights are used to construct their composite scores than wide receiver and tight end. Here are the playoff odds for the Seahawks and the other 31 NFL teams: No team has clinched a playoff berth so far, although some are all but certain to make it. You'd also get back your initial $100 stake, for a total of $250, back into your pocket. How to Read NFL Playoff Betting Odds. Luckily, their offense decided to wake up, completely demolishing Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears 41-10. 35. Fourteen teams will enter the NFL postseason, but only two will be good enough to reach the Super Bowl in Arizona. Depth Charts. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. NFL predictions Can you outsmart our NFL forecasts? Unlikely to happen! That combination of outcomes occurs in <0. Sure, TCU Could Make The Playoff. 0. Heading into Week 14, Tua led the NFL in dropbacks with motion at the snap, and he had a raw QBR of 63. 1 draft pick candidates. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. They have the Vikings: Odds to make the playoffs: 92%. Stay updated with the latest Jets NFL betting odds. 2%. Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. 10 But that line is. The Arizona Cardinals, Carolina. Playoff Odds; Elo Rating. Packers odds to make the playoffs: Yes +175, No -225. (13 teams didn't. This means their model was able to predict NFL games better than 97% of those that played. MVP betting odds have undergone another shift as the NFL season heads into Week 9. Miami Dolphins. We’ve seen a shift away from the parity of the. Below, we’ll look at the best lines for each NFL team’s hopes of making it to the playoffs in the 2023-24 season. They got there by defeating the. More. On Sunday, they squandered a chance to steal a win against the suddenly vulnerable Seattle Seahawks, losing 13-9 at home. AFC North. 12, 2023, at State Farm Arena in Glendale, Ariz. With -140 odds to make the playoffs and +115 to not make the playoffs, 78% of tickets have the. Playoff odds tell how likely an MLB team will win the division, wild card berth or win the World Series. So Seattle’s Elo rating is now 1755, ahead of New. The Steelers are the first team in NFL history with a winning record through eight games despite being outgained in each contest. Preseason favorites, including the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, remain in fantastic shape as far as the odds are concerned. I'm. Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning, left, and San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick during a game. Chiefs. A win over the Cardinals would increase those odds to 98 percent; a loss would decrease. Based off those odds, the Chiefs’ implied probability to win the Super Bowl is. Playoff odds are also not much changed from last week: Green Bay saw its postseason chances improve the most. Philly’s playoff odds went up north of 70 percent. Overall. The deluge of. Oakland Raiders quarterback Derek Carr celebrates as running back Latavius Murray runs toward the end zone past Kansas City Chiefs strong safety Eric. FiveThirtyEight currently has the Patriots with a 36 percent chance of making. Here are the playoff odds for the Seahawks and the other 31 NFL teams: No team has clinched a playoff berth so far, although some are all but certain to make it. . You can use these odds to help make your predictions on which teams have to best chances to win it all at the end of the season, or which teams will go over or under their season win totals. The change in these two predictions is also shown. 4, 2018 at 10:21 PM. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. Given their standing in the division and the games remaining, the simulator thinks the Chargers have about a 47 percent chance of making the playoffs, represented by the large number at the top. With the final AFC playoff spot up for grabs in Week 18, FiveThirtyEight has released its final playoff odds for the Dolphins, Patriots and Steelers entering the final weekend of the regular. Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. An average team has an Elo rating of 1500 — so your Lions are not so hot. Scores. Atlanta Falcons : Despite having a losing record, the 4-6 Falcons head into NFL Week 12 with +190 To Make The Playoffs odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Against the Chargers, he had a QBR of just 29. The sample sizes are tiny: With a one-and-done playoff structure, the league plays only 11 playoff games each year. Expert picks, analysis, and advice for upcoming NFL games. In this article, we are going to (1) take a look at how to scrape pregame predictions from 538 and ESPN and (2) how to merge those predictions into nflfastR’s dataset. Odds to win the Super Bowl: 5%. The Chiefs are No. FiveThirtyEight's 2019 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. Here's a look at live odds on NFL teams to make the playoffs on the best sports betting apps: Bet NFL Now: Best NFL Betting Promos & Bonuses . A win on the road would send the Saints into their bye week at 5-8, about half a game behind the Buccaneers (who would have a higher winning percentage at 5-7). com’s Simple Rating System (SRS) score and current playoff positioning of NFC teams through Week 10 of the NFL season Team W-L-TThe NFL season is quickly approaching, and the first step to winning Super Bowl 58 is to reach the postseason. The eyes of the college football world will be fixed on Ann. FiveThirtyEight's 2018 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. What to know: The Bills still hold the No. All teams with at least a 5 percent chance to make the 2021 College Football Playoff (according to the FiveThirtyEight model), with the remaining games that swing their playoff odds the most Most. The Chiefs And Eagles Made The Super Bowl With Grit, Talent, Heart And (Yes) Luck. There are a few heavy favorites to reach the postseason, including the undefeated San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC and the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC. For example, if the Minnesota Vikings are listed at -130, you must bet $130 to turn a $100 profit on a Vikings win. 5%, too, according to FiveThirtyEight. Kris Johnson 10-26-2023 • 3 min read AP Photo The ups and downs of any pro football season can make betting on NFL teams to make the playoffs an 18-week roller-coaster ride. More. McCaffrey, 49ers overpower Seahawks on Thanksgiving night. Michigan – +225. 12, 2023, at 10:17 PM 2022. 31st. Regular season Locks of the Week ATS: 41-45-4 ATS: 125-137-9 ML: 172-97-2. Daily Lines. Yes, I. Lions keep playoff hopes alive, going into final week of regular season. Jan. There are just four teams still with a chance to win Super Bowl 57 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale. The Philadelphia Eagles, Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers have the best chance of making the playoffs. Feb. The Super Bowl race might be a little “dull,” but the playoff race surely won’t be. NFL. Other clubs, such as the Cincinnati Bengals, have moved. 49ers spread: Philadelphia -2. It is also on a 22-10 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7. It is also on a 15-6 roll on top-rated NFL. The Gini coefficient for NFC playoff probabilities increased from 0. Depth Charts. The Lions have the head-to-head edge until they meet again in Week 18, and. The Washington Commanders had a clear path to the playoffs ahead of Week 15. 3 of 9 4 of 9 San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) passes against the Dallas Cowboys during the first half of an NFL wild-card playoff football game in Arlington, Texas, Sunday. How much will this game affect playoff odds. the 49ers made the playoffs 16 times, won more than 10 games 17 times, and racked up five championships. Bengals and Chiefs vs. Next >. Design and development by Jay Boice. Filed under NFL. NFL Week 9 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. Only eight didn't receive a single vote. SF at SEA Thu 8:20PM. MIA at NYJ Fri 3:00PM. FiveThirtyEight's 2016 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning Super Bowl LI. . Despite suffering a Week 18 loss to Denver, Los Angeles found its groove over the second half. 2023 Odds to Make the NFL Playoffs. 2 percentage points. At Dimers, we feature NFL game predictions and NFL expert picks today for you to make the play. TEAM GURU RANK PRESEASON PROJECTION PRESEASON PROJ. Updated Nov. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes fell from the top spot and is now at +400 after an upset loss on the road. The New York Jets (4-6) lost to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, dropping their chances of making the playoffs slightly to 1 percent. Los Angeles Chargers » The Los Angeles Chargers (4-6). NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 13, 2021: Model loving Colts and Broncos SportsLine's advanced model locked in its Week 13 NFL picks for every game on the NFL scheduleThe Texans opened this NFL season with +20,000 odds to win the Super Bowl. With their win, the 49ers climbed 14 percentage points in our playoff odds to 76 percent, while the Bengals fell 15 points to 29 percent. 12, 2023, at 10:17 PM 2022. On Sunday, the Green Bay Packers beat the New England Patriots, who had entered Week 13 ranked first in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. The Rangers. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM 2022 MLB PredictionsFiveThirtyEight calculated game-by-game Elo ratings for every team in NFL history, over 30,000 ratings in total. 55 to 0. Daily Lines. Updated FiveThirtyEight playoff predictions after third CFP rankings release. . For example, if the Minnesota Vikings are listed at -130, you must bet. By Jay Boice, Neil Paine and Nate Silver. And the 538 NFL Predictions are even bleaker, giving the Saints a 2% shot at elbowing their way into the playoff picture: 72% – Buccaneers. This year, the Crimson Tide’s adjusted probability of 33. Is 538 doing anything for nfl this year? I seen they stopped doing it for the mlb don’t know if they are doing it for the nfl too Related Topics Minnesota Vikings NFC North NFC NFL Professional football Professional sport. With eight of 18 weeks of the 2023-24 NFL season behind us, nine teams’ odds to earn one of 14 playoff spots are -350 or shorter across the board: the Chiefs, Eagles, 49ers, Lions, Dolphins. They are your 2023 Zombie Team, rising from the grave to haunt the AFC. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Their loss, combined with the Chargers’ win over Tennessee, has. The NYT Playoff Picture gives the Saints a slightly better shot at making the playoffs, but not by much. Six weeks into the season the AFC playoff picture has seemingly begun to form a shape already. FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. In fact, you can extend back to the late last season and Bengals +5. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. Here are more odds to make the NFL Playoffs. NFL Week 8 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. com’s Simple Rating System (SRS) score and current playoff positioning of NFC teams through Week 10 of the NFL season Team W-L-T The New York Jets went from +650 to make the playoffs last season to -149 in 2023 after trading for Aaron Rodgers, which means they have 59. In fact, what are the other contenders’ odds of making the four teams that get to battle it out for national supremacy? An offer for Buckeyes fans. The Packers are attempting to duplicate their run from 2016 when they won six straight to grab the NFC North and back their way into the postseason. Are you FiveThirtyEight? Claim this page. Jets These NFL playoff odds can fluctuate on a weekly basis. 5 months until the four-team College Football. Unlike the previous week, when three of the top five. Odds to win NFC North: 83%. A. . 5) cover by winning by more that 1. More. So The Chiefs Got Creative With Their Roster-Building. 40 45 50 55 60 Division avg. Total weighted change in playoff odds: 100. 59 last week. One of the NFL playoff bracket predictions from the model: It says the 49ers only have a 25. Based on the average Elo rating of the four conference championship teams, it ranks seventh among the 45 seasons since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970. Chance of making playoffs;. At the end of the season FiveThirtyEight’s model had accumulated 773. Odds to make the College Football Playoff in 2023-2024 are available for top contenders. Kansas City overtook San Francisco for the best Super Bowl odds after Week 7. Speaking on NFL Playoff predictions and best bets, we have to start with the understanding that 14 of the sport’s 32 teams make the. The New York Giants (87%) and. See how your favorite team stacks up. Yards after catch. . 4, 4:35 p.